#2 MISS FROST
#5 GRANNY MC'S KITTEN
#3 FASHION FUND
#6 OLD HARBOR
For you folks who enjoy a little Thoroughbred Racing History to accompany your handicapping efforts here at "The Spa" on a Friday afternoon ...the turf race for 3-year-old fillies was first run in 2009 and named for Peter G. Schiff's outstanding mare, a two-time winner of the Flower Bowl Invitational in 2004-05. Riskaverse, who also won the 2002 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup, retired with more than $2 million in earnings. Schiff, president of Northwood Ventures, LLC, named the daughter of Dynaformer after an economic concept based on the behavior of investors who, when faced with two investments with a similar expected return (but different risks), will prefer the one with the lower risk. Here in the 10th renewal of this stakes race, #2 MISS FROST has hit the board in five straight starts, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last two starts. Jockey Edgar Prado has been in her irons on 6 previous occasions, hitting the board in four of those rides, winning three times, and is back this afternoon for his 7th ride, gunning for a "Grand Slam Win!" #5 GRANNY MC'S KITTEN, the morning line favorite, comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start.
RACING NEWS: In what is being billed as the "Battle Off The Saddle," jockeys Elvis Trujillo and Corey Nakatani are scheduled for a three-round boxing match Aug. 30 following the races at Del Mar. In keeping with the sport's nicknaming tradition, that's Elvis "Heartbreak" Trujillo vs. Corey "Knock Out" Nakatani. The matchup, planned for approximately 7:15 p.m. PDT along with five professional bouts, is part of the "Ringside At Del Mar" boxing series. A portion of the proceeds will go to the Permanently Disabled Jockeys' Fund. The rounds will be two minutes in duration. Trujillo, 30, is listed at 5-foot-1 and 112 pounds. The native of Panama City, Panama made the cross-country relocation from Florida to California in May and is in his first Del Mar season. The story goes that when the idea of a jockey boxing match was presented to the Del Mar colony, Nakatani, a champion high school wrestler and low-handicap golfer who never met an athletic challenge he didn't like, immediately volunteered. "Nobody wanted to fight with Corey, but I'm the new guy here, I don't know that much about him, so I said I'd do it," Trujillo said the morning of Aug. 28 after breakfast in the jockeys' room. Trujillo said he has been in the ring before. But when asked about his record he referenced less formal situations where the rules weren't Marquis of Queensberry. "I fought in the streets in Panama all the time. I won a couple and I lost a couple," Trujillo said. "It was a poor and rough neighborhood where I grew up, and you have to survive." Such an environment spawned one of the greatest boxers of all time, Panama's Roberto Duran. Trujillo is a boxing fan and enthusiast, whose favorite fighter is Floyd Mayweather Jr. Trujillo's style, and most likely strategy will be to "stick and move," as pugilistic commentators say. "I'm pretty fast and I'm going to hit him with the jab, go in and out, side to side," Trujillo said. "I know this guy can hit pretty hard, but he's 43 years old and (over) three rounds, he's going to get tired faster than I will. I'll take advantage of my speed and my age." Trujillo came west after being contacted by agent Tom Knust, who had assurances from Doug O'Neill, among other trainers, that they would welcome the veteran rider who had won titles at both Calder Casino & Race Course in Florida and Monmouth Park in New Jersey. He is fourth in the Del Mar jockey standings with 24 wins, one behind Hall of Famers Kent Desormeaux and Mike Smith, and five behind two-time defending champion Rafael Bejarano.
RaceAnalyser Thoroughbred Handicapping Software
Disclaimer: Every attempt has been made to insure accuracy, however since this report is prepared and typed by hand, errors, including typographical and numerical, can be made. It is the responsibility of the end user to "cross check" these selections against the actual entries and program numbers.
BRAZILIAN "BRAHMA BEER LONGSHOTS" - FRIDAY, AUGUST 29, 2014
a. Odds are at least, 4-1 or greater
b. The entry must be the TOP POWER RATED entry in the field
c. The entry must also have the BEST SPEED in this field for today's distance and surface!
Canterbury Park - Race #7 - 9:34PM - #1 DAKOTA MAC 5/1
Ellis Park - Race #1 - 12:50PM - #8 HALLIE RUTH 15/1
NOTE: Listed Post Times are given in the local time zone of the track.
NOTES ON CLASS: The TrackMaster PLUS software uses a sophisticated mathematical formula to calculate the "class" of a particular race. It is important to note that this calculation is NOT based on purse structure, but on the competitive level of the entries in today's field. Therefore, it is possible (and not uncommon), that an entry may be racing for a higher purse today than in his or her last race, but in a "TrackMaster Sense" is dropping in class, because the overall abilities of the entries in today's race are not as competitive as the entries in his or her last race. The TrackMaster class scale is numeric, and basically ranges from 50 to 100, and is particularly helpful in judging entries that are "shipping" in from another track. In my analysis of a race, I often note that an entry is "dropping in class," or "stepping up in class." Following this statement, you will see a (number in parenthesis). The value of that particular number indicates the degree of the class change. EXAMPLE: "#4 SIN CITY takes a fairly significant class drop (-8) this evening." This indicates that this entry is dropping by 8 TrackMaster Class Levels from his or her last race. It does not necessarily mean that this entry is racing for a lower purse, only racing against a less competitive field.
NOTES: I frequently use the term, "POWER RUN" in this column. It is my terminology for a previous race run at a speed, which if duplicated today, should compete for the winner's circle at the class level in which the entry is competing today. Space requirements do not allow for a thorough discussion of this calculation, however, if you would like a short essay on how the "POWER RUN" is calculated, kindly send me some EMAIL at firstname.lastname@example.org and I'll send you a copy of my "POWER RUN" file.
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